Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.032683 0.038174 0.044224 0.051375 0.059585 0.068703 0.079586
2025-07-20 0.025397 0.032776 0.041663 0.053111 0.067415 0.084644 0.106912
2025-07-27 0.019247 0.027156 0.037464 0.051780 0.071027 0.095874 0.130218
2025-08-03 0.015225 0.023271 0.034521 0.051218 0.075147 0.107936 0.155935
2025-08-10 0.012003 0.019752 0.031308 0.049527 0.077178 0.117135 0.178667
2025-08-17 0.009707 0.017102 0.028800 0.048280 0.079414 0.126591 0.202577
2025-08-24 0.008198 0.015374 0.027353 0.048313 0.083401 0.138858 0.231797
2025-08-31 0.006784 0.013512 0.025341 0.047036 0.084981 0.147378 0.255895
2025-09-07 0.006146 0.012911 0.025354 0.049136 0.092334 0.165833 0.297772
2025-09-14 0.005339 0.011827 0.024311 0.049160 0.096008 0.178413 0.330965
2025-09-21 0.004515 0.010546 0.022684 0.047831 0.097002 0.186346 0.356766
2025-09-28 0.003896 0.009572 0.021490 0.047134 0.099021 0.196195 0.386764
2025-10-05 0.003648 0.009385 0.021900 0.049757 0.107868 0.219660 0.444342
2025-10-12 0.003354 0.009035 0.021912 0.051559 0.115303 0.241225 0.500480
2025-10-19 0.002875 0.008144 0.020594 0.050322 0.116348 0.250517 0.533929
2025-10-26 0.002514 0.007474 0.019667 0.049805 0.118819 0.262835 0.574434
2025-11-02 0.002142 0.006692 0.018342 0.048171 0.118632 0.269665 0.604429
2025-11-09 0.001848 0.006058 0.017269 0.046963 0.119222 0.278114 0.638462
2025-11-16 0.001652 0.005663 0.016738 0.047000 0.122660 0.292940 0.687206
2025-11-23 0.001428 0.005133 0.015761 0.045757 0.122898 0.300736 0.721419
2025-11-30 0.001356 0.005064 0.016031 0.047804 0.131380 0.327781 0.800352
2025-12-07 0.001220 0.004755 0.015572 0.047829 0.134812 0.343569 0.855321
2025-12-14 0.001060 0.004323 0.014682 0.046533 0.134710 0.351080 0.891989